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ArizonaMule Deer

AZ Mule Deer Unit 15A

Total Acres
333,412
Public Land
84%
Elevation
1,129–6,732 ft

Terrain Difficulty

Steepness
11° avg slope
Extreme Slopes
28° steepest 10%
Ruggedness
±11° variability
Vertical Relief
5,603 ft relief
Altitude
6,732 ft max
Remoteness
0% wilderness

Strenuous terrain — over 5,603 ft of vertical relief and steep, sustained slopes.

AI Scout Preview

AZ 15A — Terrain & Herd Character Terrain & Access Unit 15A spans a dramatic 5,603 feet of elevation from desert floor to mountain peaks, offering diverse habitat from low sagebrush and juniper to high-elevation ponderosa pine forest. With 84% public land, access is strong — the Coronado National Forest's Safford District dominates the unit and provides multiple entry points and established roads. The elevation range allows hunters to pursue animals across different country depending on season conditions and preference, though terrain becomes progressively steeper and more technical at higher elevations. Herd Quality Recent wildlife surveys show an **above-average..

Read the full AI Scout verdict on this unit — drawability at your point level, trophy potential, access, and where to focus. Free account, no card.

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Draw Odds — What It Took to Draw (2024)

Actual results from the 2024 draw, per hunt. Current-year odds at your point level with a paid plan →

Muzzleloader #1182

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader #1183

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1182

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 26.9%1 pts → 46.8%2 pts → 74.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 23.8%4 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1183

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 26.9%3 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 23.8%2 pts → 64.2%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1185

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 20.2%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 29.4%3 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Show all 10 hunts ↓

Muzzleloader Any #1186

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 20.2%3 pts → 60.1%4 pts → 92.1%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 29.4%5 pts → 100.0%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
1 pts → 46.8%2 pts → 74.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 23.8%1 pts → 42.0%2 pts → 64.2%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1195

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 20.2%1 pts → 36.5%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 29.4%1 pts → 50.1%2 pts → 67.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Muzzleloader Early #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 12.5%1 pts → 25.0%2 pts → 68.8%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 29.0%1 pts → 58.1%2 pts → 100.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

2025 draw results are in

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What are YOUR odds this year?

Last year's results tell you what it took — not what it'll take. HuntPilot runs state-specific simulators (preference, bonus-squared, pool-aware, waste-adjusted) to show your odds at your exact point count, plus multi-year projections and point-creep analysis.

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Harvest Data

Historical data (2022–2024). Current-year data with a paid plan →

YearWeaponHuntersHarvestSuccess
2024Muzzleloader #1185954042.0%
2024Muzzleloader #1186753243.0%
2024Muzzleloader #1195191368.0%
2023Muzzleloader #119219842.0%
2023Muzzleloader #1182882528.0%
2023Muzzleloader #1183772735.0%
2022Muzzleloader #11821432719.0%
2022Muzzleloader #1183861619.0%
2022Muzzleloader #1192201050.0%

Season Dates

YearWeaponDatesTag TypeSex
2025Muzzleloader Any #1185 — 1185Oct 24, 2025Nov 2, 2025male
2025Muzzleloader Any #1186 — 1186Nov 7, 2025Nov 13, 2025male
2025Muzzleloader Any #1187 — 1187Dec 12, 2025Dec 31, 2025male
2025Muzzleloader Any #1196 — 1196Oct 3, 2025Oct 12, 2025male

Trophy Data

Record-Book Entries
63
Avg Score
214.5
Top Score
276.8
Recent (5yr)
1

Herd Data

Buck : Doe

32per 100

2025 Survey

Fawn : Doe

31per 100

2025 Survey

Same Country, Other Species

Hunts that overlap this unit's ground.

Bighorn Sheep

Pronghorn

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