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ArizonaMule Deer

AZ Mule Deer Unit 21

Total Acres
700,846
Public Land
94%
Wilderness
7%
Elevation
1,480–6,805 ft

Terrain Difficulty

Steepness
13° avg slope
Extreme Slopes
27° steepest 10%
Ruggedness
±9° variability
Vertical Relief
5,325 ft relief
Altitude
6,805 ft max
Remoteness
7% wilderness

Strenuous terrain — over 5,325 ft of vertical relief and steep, sustained slopes.

AI Scout Preview

AZ 21 — Tactical Analysis. Terrain & Access AZ 21 spans 1,480–6,805 feet of elevation across 700,846 acres with exceptional public-land access (94% public). This dramatic vertical range supports diverse habitat from low-country desert scrub to high-elevation mixed-conifer forests, offering hunters flexibility to adjust elevation based on season progression and conditions. The abundance of public land eliminates access-permission obstacles and provides genuine opportunity for self-directed scouting and DIY hunting. Herd Quality The unit's mule deer population shows an average buck:doe ratio of 22:100 based on recent wildlife surveys. This indicates a balanced, well-managed herd under moderate harvest..

Read the full AI Scout verdict on this unit — drawability at your point level, trophy potential, access, and where to focus. Free account, no card.

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Draw Odds — What It Took to Draw (2024)

Actual results from the 2024 draw, per hunt. Current-year odds at your point level with a paid plan →

Rifle #1035

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 8.4%1 pts → 16.0%4 pts → 35.5%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 7.9%6 pts → 100.0%8 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle #1080

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 8.4%3 pts → 29.6%5 pts → 41.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 7.9%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle #1081

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 8.4%3 pts → 29.6%4 pts → 35.5%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 7.9%4 pts → 39.8%7 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle #1082

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 8.4%2 pts → 23.1%11 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 7.9%1 pts → 15.3%10 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle Buck #1035

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.8%1 pts → 7.4%2 pts → 10.9%3 pts → 14.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.6%7 pts → 100.0%8 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1036

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.8%6 pts → 23.6%17 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.6%1 pts → 10.9%12 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Show all 12 hunts ↓

Rifle Buck #1080

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.8%1 pts → 7.4%2 pts → 10.9%3 pts → 14.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.6%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1081

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.8%1 pts → 7.4%2 pts → 10.9%3 pts → 14.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.6%9 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1082

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.8%8 pts → 29.4%11 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.6%2 pts → 15.9%10 pts → 100.0%11 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Youth #1159

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 6.7%1 pts → 13.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 7.4%1 pts → 14.3%2 pts → 20.7%3 pts → 42.9%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Youth Any #1158

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → <0.01%1 pts → <0.01%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.2%5 pts → 100.0%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Youth Any #1159

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 16.5%1 pts → 31.1%3 pts → 54.9%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 5.8%7 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

2025 draw results are in

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What are YOUR odds this year?

Last year's results tell you what it took — not what it'll take. HuntPilot runs state-specific simulators (preference, bonus-squared, pool-aware, waste-adjusted) to show your odds at your exact point count, plus multi-year projections and point-creep analysis.

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Harvest Data

Historical data (2022–2024). Current-year data with a paid plan →

YearWeaponHuntersHarvestSuccess
2024Rifle #10351898344.0%
2024Rifle #103610990.0%
2024Rifle #10801698550.0%
2024Rifle #10811746940.0%
2024Rifle #1082211152.0%
2024Youth #1158382463.0%
2023Rifle #10352349239.0%
2023Rifle #10802449238.0%
2023Rifle #10812489438.0%
2023Rifle #108228829.0%
2023Youth #1159411844.0%
2022Rifle #10352526927.0%
2022Rifle #108023910946.0%
2022Rifle #10812326729.0%
2022Rifle #1082281554.0%
2022Youth #1159472553.0%

Season Dates

YearWeaponDatesTag TypeSex
2025Rifle Buck #1035 — 1035Oct 31, 2025Nov 6, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1036 — 1036Dec 12, 2025Dec 31, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1079 — 1079Oct 24, 2025Oct 30, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1080 — 1080Nov 7, 2025Nov 13, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1081 — 1081Dec 12, 2025Dec 31, 2025male
2025Youth Any #1158 — 1158Oct 3, 2025Oct 9, 2025male

Trophy Data

Record-Book Entries
2
Avg Score
190.4
Top Score
200.6
Recent (5yr)
0

Herd Data

Buck : Doe

17per 100

2025 Survey

Fawn : Doe

7per 100

2025 Survey

Same Country, Other Species

Hunts that overlap this unit's ground.

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