Arizona — Mule Deer

AZ Mule Deer Unit 15B

Name: Arizona Unit 15B Mule Deer Hunting Data
Creator: HuntPilot
License: https://huntpilot.ai/terms

Total Acres

186,573

Public Land

100%

Elevation

1,081–5,455 ft

Terrain Difficulty

Steepness

10° avg slope

Extreme Slopes

27° steepest 10%

Ruggedness

±10° variability

Vertical Relief

4,374 ft relief

Altitude

5,455 ft max

Remoteness

0% wilderness

Moderate terrain — over 4,374 ft of vertical relief and steep, sustained slopes.

AI Scout Preview

AZ 15B — Tactical Analysis. Terrain & Access AZ 15B spans 186,573 acres of diverse Arizona foothill and mountain terrain, ranging from low-elevation desert scrub near 1,100 feet to mixed-conifer and ponderosa pine forest above 5,400 feet. Nearly all land is public — 99.7% open to hunting — offering exceptional access across elevation zones and habitat types. The Coronado National Forest comprises significant acreage within the unit. A Safford District forest map is essential for identifying specific access points and public-land parcels throughout the unit. Herd Quality Recent wildlife surveys document an above-average deer population with a..

Read the full AI Scout verdict on this unit — drawability at your point level, trophy potential, access, and where to focus. Free account, no card.

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Draw Odds — What It Took to Draw (2024)

Actual results from the 2024 draw, per hunt. Current-year odds at your point level with a paid plan →

Muzzleloader #1182

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader #1183

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1182

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)

0 pts → 26.9%1 pts → 46.8%2 pts → 74.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)

0 pts → 23.8%4 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1183

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)

0 pts → 26.9%3 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)

0 pts → 23.8%2 pts → 64.2%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1185

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)

0 pts → 20.2%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)

0 pts → 29.4%3 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Show all 10 hunts ↓

Muzzleloader Any #1186

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)

0 pts → 20.2%3 pts → 60.1%4 pts → 92.1%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)

0 pts → 29.4%5 pts → 100.0%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)

1 pts → 46.8%2 pts → 74.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)

0 pts → 23.8%1 pts → 42.0%2 pts → 64.2%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1195

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)

0 pts → 20.2%1 pts → 36.5%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)

0 pts → 29.4%1 pts → 50.1%2 pts → 67.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Muzzleloader Early #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 12.5%1 pts → 25.0%2 pts → 68.8%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)

0 pts → 29.0%1 pts → 58.1%2 pts → 100.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

2025 draw results are in

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What are YOUR odds this year?

Last year's results tell you what it took — not what it'll take. HuntPilot runs state-specific simulators (preference, bonus-squared, pool-aware, waste-adjusted) to show your odds at your exact point count, plus multi-year projections and point-creep analysis.

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Harvest Data

Historical data (2022–2024). Current-year data with a paid plan →

Year	Weapon	Hunters	Harvest	Success
2024	Muzzleloader #1185	95	40	42.0%
2024	Muzzleloader #1186	75	32	43.0%
2024	Muzzleloader #1195	19	13	68.0%
2023	Muzzleloader #1192	19	8	42.0%
2023	Muzzleloader #1182	88	25	28.0%
2023	Muzzleloader #1183	77	27	35.0%
2022	Muzzleloader #1182	143	27	19.0%
2022	Muzzleloader #1183	86	16	19.0%
2022	Muzzleloader #1192	20	10	50.0%

Season Dates

Year	Weapon	Dates	Tag Type	Sex
2025	Muzzleloader Any #1185 — 1185	Oct 24, 2025 — Nov 2, 2025	—	male
2025	Muzzleloader Any #1186 — 1186	Nov 7, 2025 — Nov 13, 2025	—	male
2025	Muzzleloader Any #1187 — 1187	Dec 12, 2025 — Dec 31, 2025	—	male
2025	Muzzleloader Any #1196 — 1196	Oct 3, 2025 — Oct 12, 2025	—	male