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ArizonaMule Deer

AZ Mule Deer Unit 15C

Total Acres
505,154
Public Land
83%
Elevation
644–5,441 ft

Terrain Difficulty

Steepness
8° avg slope
Extreme Slopes
19° steepest 10%
Ruggedness
±8° variability
Vertical Relief
4,797 ft relief
Altitude
5,441 ft max
Remoteness
0% wilderness

Moderate terrain — over 4,797 ft of vertical relief and steep, sustained slopes.

AI Scout Preview

AZ 15C – Tactical Analysis. Terrain & Access AZ 15C spans 505,000+ acres across dramatic elevation change—from low desert at 644 ft to high country above 5,400 ft. The unit's 83% public-land composition gives hunters broad access across Coronado National Forest and adjacent BLM holdings. This elevation spread means diverse habitat zones, from saguaro desert at lower elevations to mixed conifer forest in the high country, allowing flexible hunting strategy based on seasonal conditions and deer movement patterns. Herd Quality Buck-to-doe ratios average above average, indicating a healthy population with reasonable numbers of mature males available. Recent..

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Draw Odds — What It Took to Draw (2024)

Actual results from the 2024 draw, per hunt. Current-year odds at your point level with a paid plan →

Muzzleloader #1182

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader #1183

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 33.3%1 pts → 55.9%2 pts → 85.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 31.8%1 pts → 53.6%2 pts → 82.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1182

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 26.9%1 pts → 46.8%2 pts → 74.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 23.8%4 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1183

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 26.9%3 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 23.8%2 pts → 64.2%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1185

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 20.2%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 29.4%3 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Show all 10 hunts ↓

Muzzleloader Any #1186

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 20.2%3 pts → 60.1%4 pts → 92.1%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 29.4%5 pts → 100.0%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
1 pts → 46.8%2 pts → 74.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 23.8%1 pts → 42.0%2 pts → 64.2%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1195

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 20.2%1 pts → 36.5%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 29.4%1 pts → 50.1%2 pts → 67.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Muzzleloader Early #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 12.5%1 pts → 25.0%2 pts → 68.8%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 29.0%1 pts → 58.1%2 pts → 100.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

2025 draw results are in

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What are YOUR odds this year?

Last year's results tell you what it took — not what it'll take. HuntPilot runs state-specific simulators (preference, bonus-squared, pool-aware, waste-adjusted) to show your odds at your exact point count, plus multi-year projections and point-creep analysis.

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Harvest Data

Historical data (2022–2023). Current-year data with a paid plan →

YearWeaponHuntersHarvestSuccess
2023Muzzleloader #119219842.0%
2023Muzzleloader #1182882528.0%
2023Muzzleloader #1183772735.0%
2022Muzzleloader #11821432719.0%
2022Muzzleloader #1183861619.0%
2022Muzzleloader #1192201050.0%

Season Dates

YearWeaponDatesTag TypeSex
2025Muzzleloader Any #1185 — 1185Oct 24, 2025Nov 2, 2025male
2025Muzzleloader Any #1186 — 1186Nov 7, 2025Nov 13, 2025male
2025Muzzleloader Any #1187 — 1187Dec 12, 2025Dec 31, 2025male
2025Muzzleloader Any #1196 — 1196Oct 3, 2025Oct 12, 2025male

Trophy Data

Record-Book Entries
63
Avg Score
214.5
Top Score
276.8
Recent (5yr)
1

Herd Data

Buck : Doe

32per 100

2025 Survey

Fawn : Doe

31per 100

2025 Survey

Same Country, Other Species

Hunts that overlap this unit's ground.

Bighorn Sheep

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