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ArizonaMule Deer

AZ Mule Deer Unit 16A

Total Acres
1,580,165
Public Land
87%
Elevation
452–8,260 ft

Terrain Difficulty

Steepness
8° avg slope
Extreme Slopes
21° steepest 10%
Ruggedness
±8° variability
Vertical Relief
7,808 ft relief
Altitude
8,260 ft max
Remoteness
0% wilderness

Strenuous terrain — over 7,808 ft of vertical relief and steep, sustained slopes.

AI Scout Preview

AZ 16A — Tactical Analysis. Terrain & Access AZ 16A spans 1.58 million acres across extreme elevation diversity—from desert floor at 452 ft to high country above 8,200 ft. The unit is 87% public land, offering substantial access for self-guided hunters. This dramatic vertical relief means multiple habitat zones exist within a single unit: low-elevation desert and scrub transition into piñon-juniper and ponderosa forest at mid-elevation, with high-country mixed conifer potential at the top. Hunters can hunt different terrain types and elevations within the same tag. Herd Quality Wildlife surveys show an average buck-to-doe ratio of 22:100..

Read the full AI Scout verdict on this unit — drawability at your point level, trophy potential, access, and where to focus. Free account, no card.

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Draw Odds — What It Took to Draw (2024)

Actual results from the 2024 draw, per hunt. Current-year odds at your point level with a paid plan →

Muzzleloader #1193

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 2.0%1 pts → 3.9%4 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 55.1%1 pts → 82.4%2 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1193

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 7.1%1 pts → 13.9%2 pts → 20.4%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 57.1%1 pts → 83.0%2 pts → 93.9%3 pts → 99.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Any #1196

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 8.3%1 pts → 16.7%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 32.0%4 pts → 95.7%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle #1024

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 19.7%1 pts → 35.8%2 pts → 64.1%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 14.4%4 pts → 100.0%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle Any #1023

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 4.9%5 pts → 26.3%26 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 11.0%5 pts → 100.0%9 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Any #1024

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 7.8%5 pts → 100.0%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 12.1%5 pts → 100.0%8 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

2025 draw results are in

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What are YOUR odds this year?

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Harvest Data

Historical data (2022–2024). Current-year data with a paid plan →

YearWeaponHuntersHarvestSuccess
2024Rifle #10231659055.0%
2024Muzzleloader #1196151067.0%
2023Muzzleloader #119318528.0%
2023Rifle #10242069546.0%
2022Rifle #10242715219.0%
2022Muzzleloader #119320735.0%

Season Dates

YearWeaponDatesTag TypeSex
2025Muzzleloader Any #1197 — 1197Nov 21, 2025Nov 30, 2025male
2025Rifle Any #1024 — 1024Oct 24, 2025Nov 2, 2025male

Trophy Data

Record-Book Entries
63
Avg Score
214.5
Top Score
276.8
Recent (5yr)
1

Herd Data

Buck : Doe

19per 100

2025 Survey

Fawn : Doe

19per 100

2025 Survey

Same Country, Other Species

Hunts that overlap this unit's ground.

Bighorn Sheep

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