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ArizonaMule Deer

AZ Mule Deer Unit 33

Total Acres
663,829
Public Land
87%
Wilderness
14%
Elevation
2,318–9,154 ft

AI Scout Preview

AZ 33 — Tactical Analysis. Terrain & Access AZ 33 spans 664,000 acres across dramatic elevation—from low desert scrub at 2,300 ft to high-country forest above 9,100 ft. The unit encompasses foothills and flats surrounding the Catalina and Rincon Mountains, offering diverse habitat from sagebrush to ponderosa pine. With 87% public land, access is generally solid, though important private-land pockets exist throughout the unit. Hunters should verify property ownership carefully before hiking—mixing public and private is common here and requires local knowledge or pre-hunt scouting. A 14% wilderness component adds rugged, foot-traffic terrain for those willing to push..

Read the full AI Scout verdict on this unit — drawability at your point level, trophy potential, access, and where to focus. Free account, no card.

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Draw Odds — What It Took to Draw (2024)

Actual results from the 2024 draw, per hunt. Current-year odds at your point level with a paid plan →

Muzzleloader #1190

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 73.3%1 pts → 100.0%2 pts → 100.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 30.1%1 pts → 91.0%2 pts → 100.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Muzzleloader Buck #1190

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 71.4%1 pts → 100.0%2 pts → 100.0%7 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 100.0%1 pts → 100.0%2 pts → 100.0%3 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Muzzleloader Buck #1192

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 88.9%1 pts → 100.0%2 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 58.0%1 pts → 98.0%2 pts → 100.0%4 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle #1054

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 3.5%1 pts → 6.9%3 pts → 13.4%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 6.2%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle #1119

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 3.5%1 pts → 6.9%2 pts → 10.2%4 pts → 16.5%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 6.2%6 pts → 100.0%8 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle #1120

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 3.5%1 pts → 6.9%6 pts → 22.3%7 pts → 56.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 6.2%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Show all 21 hunts ↓

Rifle #1121

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 3.5%3 pts → 13.4%5 pts → 19.4%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 6.2%3 pts → 22.5%4 pts → 57.6%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle #1122

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 3.5%4 pts → 16.5%7 pts → 56.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 6.2%5 pts → 100.0%8 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle #1123

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 3.5%2 pts → 10.2%11 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 6.2%9 pts → 100.0%11 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Rifle Buck #1055

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.0%1 pts → 5.9%4 pts → 14.2%10 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.5%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1119

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.0%4 pts → 14.2%6 pts → 19.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.5%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1120

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.0%2 pts → 8.8%5 pts → 16.8%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.5%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1121

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.0%6 pts → 19.3%7 pts → 47.8%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.5%6 pts → 100.0%9 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1122

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 3.0%1 pts → 5.9%12 pts → 100.0%13 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 5.5%1 pts → 10.7%9 pts → 100.0%12 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Rifle Buck #1123

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 4.0%3 pts → 15.0%12 pts → 100.0%13 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 6.1%9 pts → 100.0%11 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Youth #1165

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 18.2%1 pts → 33.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 17.7%3 pts → 100.0%4 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Youth #1166

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 18.2%3 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2022 draw)
0 pts → 17.7%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2022 draw.

Youth Any #1165

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 14.2%1 pts → 26.5%2 pts → 41.3%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 17.5%3 pts → 100.0%4 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Youth Any #1166

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 14.2%2 pts → 41.3%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2023 draw)
0 pts → 17.5%4 pts → 100.0%5 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2023 draw.

Youth Any #1168

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 11.9%1 pts → 22.4%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 17.8%3 pts → 88.3%4 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

Youth Any #1169

NonresidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 11.9%3 pts → 100.0%4 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

ResidentEst. draw odds by point level (2024 draw)
0 pts → 17.8%4 pts → 100.0%6 pts → 100.0%

Bonus draw — more points always means better odds. Estimated from the 2024 draw.

2025 draw results are in

Unlock →

What are YOUR odds this year?

Last year's results tell you what it took — not what it'll take. HuntPilot runs state-specific simulators (preference, bonus-squared, pool-aware, waste-adjusted) to show your odds at your exact point count, plus multi-year projections and point-creep analysis.

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Harvest Data

Historical data (2022–2024). Current-year data with a paid plan →

YearWeaponHuntersHarvestSuccess
2024Rifle #10551404734.0%
2024Rifle #111916110364.0%
2024Rifle #112024813856.0%
2024Rifle #112125113152.0%
2024Rifle #1122554175.0%
2024Youth #116818413272.0%
2024Youth #116917711062.0%
2024Muzzleloader #119222812254.0%
2023Muzzleloader #11902558935.0%
2023Rifle #10551534731.0%
2023Rifle #11191246956.0%
2023Rifle #112017510560.0%
2023Rifle #112125310742.0%
2023Rifle #112225112751.0%
2023Rifle #1123543463.0%
2023Youth #116517611565.0%
2023Youth #11661879852.0%
2022Rifle #10541693822.0%
2022Rifle #11191317053.0%
2022Rifle #112018611059.0%
2022Rifle #112126810840.0%
2022Rifle #112225911344.0%
2022Rifle #1123624166.0%
2022Youth #116517811565.0%
2022Youth #11661808748.0%
2022Muzzleloader #11902507128.0%

Season Dates

YearWeaponDatesTag TypeSex
2025Muzzleloader Buck #1193 — 1193Nov 14, 2025Nov 20, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1054 — 1054Oct 31, 2025Nov 6, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1119 — 1119Oct 24, 2025Oct 30, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1120 — 1120Nov 7, 2025Nov 13, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1121 — 1121Nov 28, 2025Dec 7, 2025male
2025Rifle Buck #1122 — 1122Dec 12, 2025Dec 31, 2025male
2025Youth Any #1168 — 1168Oct 10, 2025Oct 16, 2025male
2025Youth Any #1169 — 1169Nov 21, 2025Nov 27, 2025male

Trophy Data

Record-Book Entries
2
Avg Score
228.4
Top Score
238.5
Recent (5yr)
0

Herd Data

Buck : Doe

18per 100

2025 Survey

Fawn : Doe

21per 100

2025 Survey

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